WildTexan

Above is an excellent post. Maybe SS started reading the clipping before the season was over. Excellent ball team now just get it together for the final post season push.

Our Expectation for 4A Division 1 Region 2 Football Playoff and possible point spreads. Sherman vs Richardson Pearce Sherman 11 points favorite Dallas Carter vs Dallas Wilson Dallas Carter 31 points favorite Longview vs Nacogdoches Longview 35 points favorite Forney vs Waco Waco 14 points favorite McKinney vs Highland Park Highland Park 15 point favorite Kimball vs Samuell Dallas Kimball 3 points favorite Texarkana vs Whitehouse Texarkana 17 points favorite Lancaster vs. Waco Midway Waco Midway 9 points favorite

If the UIL is so hard up for money why not open the playoffs up to all 238 football playing schools in 4AAAA. At present 128 schools start the playoffs week after next. In other words approx. half the schools in the 4AAAA classification enter the playoff picture. The playoffs run for 6 weeks between Nov. 16, 2008 and Dec. 20, 2008. If UIL opens up playoff to every football playing school in 4AAAA it would extend the playoff by one addition week (say to Dec. 27, 2008). This way the UIL could receive revenue from an approx. additional 120 games. Although we are not sure the logical setup of the playoff brackets for such a system with uneven distributed districts (6,7,8,9,10 team districts). We feel confident that if the UIL can re-align the districts every two years surely they could setup such a playoff bracket. The disadvantage to this idea would be the last week of this playoff run would start competing with the College bowl game which starts around the middle of Dec. There also are the financial rewards to the Schools who make a long run into the playoffs. One only has to look at the athletic facilities of schools that consistently make and enjoy a longer run into playoffs. We would say the playoffs really start when District play starts in every district.

I might be giving up my age but in 1960 only the District Champ went to the State playoffs. We can live with the system the way it set up. The one thing that we would like to see is a playoff between D1 & D2 Champs to get a overall Texas Championship in 4AAAA. The D1 & D2 could still have thier jacket patches for wining their divisional backet. But the general public and us die-hard football redneck want to know who the best 4AAAA TEAM is for the State.

Folks remember it’s the Economic. In the past Division 1 bracket only had 32 teams which provided the UIL with 31 games with gate receipts in prior Division 2 bracket had 64 teams which provided the UIL with 63 games of gate receipts. Today the UIL with be taking in 15% of gate receipts of 126 games roughly a 25% increase in revenue. The following paragraph is taken from the Football Plan of UIL post season rules. “FIFTEEN PERCENT POST DISTRICT PLAYOFF RECEIPTS. Fifteen percent of the gross receipts of post-district games in the state championship races shall be paid to the League office to maintain a fund for investigating eligibility questions and to supplement printing, salary, office appropriations relating to football, and for the purchase of medals, trophies and awards in Interscholastic League State Meets. The radio broadcasts receipts and the telecast receipts are considered a part of the game receipts in all post-district games. The school that handles the receipts of the game, usually the "home team", submits a financial form to the UIL office (forms enclosed for all potential playoff games). The check should be made out to The University Interscholastic League, and mailed to the UIL, Box 8028, Austin, Texas 78713-8028. Note: This memo is being written to each bi-district participant since we do not have a list of home teams in bi-district games.”

Hallsville is a well coached ball club. Being a one dimensional offense is a big disadvantage to carry in this District unless you can preform that dimensional offense at a very high level. (Ex. Longview- Run & SS - passing) T-High played with eight and at time 9 people in the box. We were suprised that Hallsville ran as well as they did on T-High defense. Most of the better runs for Hallsville came on the outside with T-High stacking the middle. The long pass Hallsville completed was sloppy play by the T-High safety (Hallsville caught T-High asleep at the wheel) Always impressed with the disciplined way Hallsville football teams play. IMO Hallsville band is the best in the District and maybe in the State. Impressed with all the Hallsville young men and women.

SS spread offense is a scoring machine. Expect SS to put up big numbers against Hallsville. Sorry Hallsville SS passing game is best in District 13 4A and maybe in the State. If Hallsville attempts to use the ground game on SS the game will be over before it starts. SS only weakness is the play of the defensive unit but they will not be on the field to long anyway. Also Hallsville is having to travel to SS and play in their house. This will be T. Rollison last high school game they may just turn him loose to impress the college scouts which will be in the house. SS 49 Hallsville 14 Wishing a good hard and safe contest for both teams. Good luck to both teams.

Another method to evaluate this contest is to review this year offensive production by possession (assuming roughly 12 offensive possessions per game for both teams). Marshall is averaging about 2.34 points per offensive possession. Marshall is puting point on the board approx. 33% of time offensively. SS is averaging about 3.28 points per offensive possession. SS is puting point on the board approx. 47% of the time offensively. Expect Contest score to be in the neighborhood of SS 42 Marshall 28

Keys to victory for T-High. A. Stop Hallsville's ground game. (Sets up T-High offende) B. Spread Hallsville out defensively. (Can Hallsville cover both the run and pass) C. Score first and fast. (Put Hallsville in a hurry up mode) Keys to victory for Hallsville. A. Get the ground game going and keep it going. (Will keep T-High defense on the field to long) B. Control the clock. (T-High does not like a grind it out game) C. Win the special team match up. (T-High could be weak here) D. Be on look out for T-High trick plays (It is Halloween Night)

Startin Lineup as stated in Texarkana paper. TEXAS HIGH OFFENSE HALLSVILLE DEFENSE SE -Cobi Hamilton (14), 195 DE-Michael Boyd (30), 215 RT-Andrew Kelley (78), 324 DT- Hyler Stroschein (56), 205 RG-Reginald Ware (68), 316 DT- Kyle Pack (39), 225 C-Eric Stewart (59), 248 DE-Tyler Whitford (71), 210 LG-Matt Schroeder (51), 262 OLB-Amaris Ortiz (1), 160 LT-Jarius Dancer (79), 256 ILB-Matt Warbington (34), 170 TE-logan Preston (43), 185 ILB-Lucas Mock (22), 190 FL-Roderick Collier (9), 177 OLB-Bo Marcum (5), 170 QB-Nathan Sorenson (8), 193 CB-Johnson (10) TB-Kody Sutton (33), 186 CB-Smith (6) FB-Clayton Godfrey (32), 196 S-Eric Mitchell (20), 185 PK-Austin Gibson (47), 148 TEXAS HIGH DEFENSE HALLSVILLE OFFENSE RE-Pharron Minnifield (48), 208 WR-Dadrian Johnson (10), 170 NG-Vonderrick Allen (98), 318 TE-Trevor Petersen (85), 210 ST-Marlon Cooks (55), 278 T-Chris Pack (65), 285 SE-Jacoby Thomas (13), 218 G-Jarod Jackson (57), 290 SLB-Lavert King (5), 179, or Telvin Wilson (6), 188 C-Dalton Buchanan (52), 200 MLB-Cameron Evans (lll, 195 G-Jeff Bias (58), 280 or Hunter Cochran (78), 270 WLB-Raymondrick Brown (4), 216 T-Josh Cochran (78), 260 CB-Jordan Strickland (21), 165 WR-Kenneth Smith (6), 160 CB-Roderick Collier (9) 177 QB-Tom lee Hutchinson (7), 170 FS-Tarell Beasley (2), 175 RB-A. J. Jones (17), 190 SS-Montrae Williams (30), 186 FB-Brandon Pyle (48), 215 P-Randall Fant (16), 173

As a follow-up to prior post Hallsville may benefit from absents of T-High regular punter. We expect Hallsville to get better field position than T-High on all change of possessions. This alone could provide Hallsville with better scoring opportunities (say maybe one score). T-High may be somewhat concerned about their special teams (kicking game) play in this contest. If Hallsville coaching picked this weaken up in the scouting reports it could provide some turn over opportunities as well as scoring chances for Bobcats.

When you throw to cats (Tigers & Bobcats) together more than likely you get a good cat fight. Expect the game to be somewhat of a low scoring game from the stand point that Hallsville will try and limit the offensive series for T-High. T-High will have to take advantage of each offensive series with excellent execution and minimize mistakes. Our expectation is T-High with balanced offense to outscore the Hallsville ground attack. We feel both team will have approximately 12 offensive possessions for the game with Hallsville scoring on two of those possessions and T-High scoring on roughly half of the 12. T-High will need to score fast on each offensive series. Hallsville if they are successfully will want to score on long time consuming offensive drives (6 to 8 minute each drive). With T-High good defensive backfield it would be a mistake for Hallsville to pull the ball in the air to many times. Looking forward to this contest.

It is early to be running the model for payoff picture but here is the model expectation for District 13 & 14 in 4A. The actual last several games to be played could change lineup but odds are not good for changes. 4A D-1 W-13 Longview R-14 Nacogdoches 4A D-1 R-13 Texarkana W-14 Whitehouse 4A D-2 W-13 Sulphur Springs R-14 Kilgore 4A D-2 R-13 Marshall W-14 Lindale

Massey rating service has game T-High 33 Hallsville 16 before results of the last game were input into the model. Our computer model shows expected result of T-High 38 Hallsville 21. Calculated with results of the Oct 24 game in the model.

Massey Rating service calls this game Sulphur Springs 36 Marshall 33. This score was determined before results of the last game by both clubs was input into their model.

SS is scoring at a clip of 1.64 points for every minute their offense is on the field. SS defense is allowing the opponent to score at a clip of 1.20 points for every minute of offensive play. Marshall is scoring 1.18 points for every minute their offense is on the field. Marshall’s defense is allowing the opponent to score at a clip of 1.0 points for every minute of offensive play. Utilizing a very complex computer model and plugging in these numbers the computer output shows expected score of Sulphur Springs 39 Marshall 28. This is just the computer talking, that why we play the actual game. Good luck to both teams, players and fans.

Hallsville is a well coached ball club and can surprise you sometimes. We remember several years back T-High came rolling into Hallsville (think the game played in Kilgore) with a very good T-High team and lost the game as we remember. Hallsville had a middle LB that was hard for T-High to stop. I think he is now playing for the Univ. of Texas Longhorns (Roddrick Muckelroy). Coach Norton sure remembers that game very well (he has mentioned it on several occasions). We expect Coach to have his team prepared and motivated to give Hallsville a hard fought game.

Is Hallsville a one dimensional offense (run oriented)? T-High runs a fairly balanced offensive game plan mixing up the run and pass(50%- 50%). We don’t expect Coach Norton to change his game a great deal even with all the injuries. The one area of concern for T-High is the regular punter when down in the Marshall game and T-High will have to work with a backup punter which could change the game plan in some situations. If Hallsville utilizes a grind it out ground game you can expect T-High to load the box and cheat up with the safeties. T-High does have an extra fast wide out which will be problems for Hallsville. We expect this to be a good game.

The Injury demons have not been good to T-High this season. One can only wonder if the team will overcome these losses. T-High coach staff does a good job of developing the younger underclassmen but to lose such a talented group of skill position players will more than likely change the game plan as well as the play calling to some extent. If we are not mistaken Lusk, Heathcott, Allday, and Jones are all seniors and more than likely will miss action for the remainder of the season and post season and that is a shame for these young men. The sign of a good team will require someone to step-up and take up the slack and play with more effort and overcome the talent drain. Prayers and best wishes for all these young men and the sacrifice they have made for their team and school.

We expect Sulphur Spring’s offensive unit to stretch the Marshall’s defensive unit to the very limits. Sulpher Spring’s passing game is the best in the district. Sulpher Spring’s run threat will be from running back and quarterback occasionally to keep Marshall’s defense honest. A key for Marshall to win is to run the ball straight at Sulpher Spring’s defensive unit which in our humble opinion is Sulpher Spring’s weakest link. Run inside, Run outside, Run slants, Run misdirection, Run the Clock to the final gun. That will keep the Sulpher Spring’s offense off the field as long as possible. If Marshall attempts to pass the ball it will be a sign Marshall is in trouble. If Marshall puts the ball on the ground they will lose the game. Our expectation is a Sulpher Spring’s win.

Marshall is more than likely a better football team than they showed last night. Offensively Marshall lacks the ability to pass with efficiency which is a drawback to running a balanced offense in Texas High School football. Marshall has some talented skill players which might be better utilized in a fast paced type spread offense which would spread the defense out and utilize the running ability of skill players using short passing route. Defensively Marshall played to up our expectation limiting T-High to 4 touchdowns and 1 field goal is better than last two opponents have preformed. Would grade Marshall Defense unit higher than offense last night. Marshall special teams outscored the offensive unit last night. We saw excellent play out of Marshall special teams with exception of punting unit. Marshall special team play could be advanced due to the breakdown of T-High special team play.

T-High played a good defensive type ballgame last night. On the defensive side of the ball T-High is grading higher with each game played. The only weakest we see maybe is in pass coverage. Last night when D Jones was under center T-High had eight in the box with safety up close so they stopped the run most of the night. The only long runs of the night for Marshall was in 4th Q when Marshall had to pass to get back in the game which required T-High to use prevent type defense to help Marshall burn time off the clock. On the Offensive side of the ball T-High played a journeyman type game will not grade out as high as some prior games. Offense left some points on the field in two cases. Special Teams will need some work next week. With Slade Heathcott out T-High will have to develop a new punter. This could be a handicap if T-High moves into the post-season completion.

Massey ratings have Texas High approximately 10 point favorite for this game. We believe the teams are more evenly matched than a 10 point spread. We don’t like to make predictions so will say the team that scores last will more than likely be victorious. Wins Losses District Wins District Losses PF PA Texarkana 5 1 2 1 237 147 Marshall 5 2 2 1 221 163

Longview Massey rating 4A Texas (1) with power rating of 64.82 Texas High Massey rating 4A Texas (5) with power rating of 53.84 Sulphur Springs Massey rating 4A Texas (13) with power rating of 46.10 Marshall Massey rating 4A Texas (21) with power rating of 42.43 Whitehouse Massey rating 4A Texas (23) with power rating of 38.96 Lindale Massey rating 4A Texas (26) with power rating of 39.79 Kilgore Massey rating 4A Texas (25) with power rating of 42.01 Hallsville Massey rating 4A Texas (36) with power rating of 35.16 Nacogdoches Massey rating 4A Texas (55) with power rating of 29.45 Mt Pleasant Massey rating 4A Texas (66) with power rating of 29.88 Jacksonville Massey rating 4A Texas (70) with power rating of 30.23 Henderson Massey rating 4A Texas (141) with power rating of 19.08 Pine Tree Massey rating 4A Texas (?) with power rating of ?