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Slickarick

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Everything posted by Slickarick

  1. Hope so. Maybe going to this one, be worth the drive, got cousins in Cedar park I can stay with. Think the Lions get them on this one.
  2. I did forecast for Thursday up and down East, TX, I 45 and down 35 ( on weather bug) and I know it being TX its subject to change 15 times by then but you have to go west of Dallas, or down to temple area to get it in at 7 an no to low rain chances. Play in the star ?!?
  3. Friday looks better, could go Nac high, Lufkin, Marshal, Carthage( don't know availabilities) . SFA for some unknow reason wants to jack up prices again. Dumb IMO show off what you got help get recruits.. they need them.
  4. Brock wins again by at least 18, one of the easiest routes to the semi game. For 3A D1 at least I think it goes Region 3= toughest IMO, Region 2 is next, then region 1 and 4
  5. Pro T team vs that gun triple option from Cooper. Should be a good one.
  6. Most the time they are. Then in February you get the new districts that come out.
  7. Henderson in 2010 got 3rd as well an won State. Carthage who got first and also won state that year played Gilmer who got 2nd in that district again in the 4th round I believe to go to the semis. They only took 3 teams then but the 4 team playoffs do have merits.
  8. The later you play the slot t the better they get. Timing and coming off the ball and the fakes all get better. ITs a beast the deeper in the season you go.
  9. I'm an East Texas guy. Anyone know anything on LRA? Jacks came off a good win. LRA beating Hitchcock was big. Must be pretty good Thought on this game ?
  10. Texas high vs Terrell rematch was a good one last year( think the border tigers win it this year). Gilmer vs center be a good one. West Columbia and jasper. Hitchcock vs LRA. East chambers and Westwood. Teague vs West. Mount Vernon vs Gladewater.
  11. good to know. That's what I was waiting on. I didn't compare schools from last time to this time just went with what they had. they may go with 250 this time to get the max schools. Looks like my prediction scenario was pretty freaking close at this point . 5A-DII-1355-1974 5A-D1-1975-2269 6A-2270+
  12. keep the conepts and poop to more of a cooper/gunter offense, open it up and dont have to teach a lot.
  13. I printed off ( from Dave Campbells) and counted schools from top to 226 and that landed on 2121ish for number( I included the opting up numbers listed on that list too) . I know its not 100% done but that's 100 lower kids than last time at 249 schools. so they would have to add a lot more schools to the 2250+ to push that number higher. IF you go to 250 then it gets into the 2000's.
  14. yea that average and Padilla numbers both landed at 179. Pretty crazy.
  15. Heard from someone who went there in 68, they moved and he graduated from a base school in Germany his dad was military. He said it was a hubcap with fishing line and hooks all over it on a stand. He could have been pulling my leg. I cant ask anymore because he's no longer with us.
  16. More realistic approach would be this one its the average of the simulations ran. 2A-DII-105-179 2A-DI-180-259 3A-DII-260-371 3A-DI-372-563 4A-DII-564-904 4A-D1-905-1354 5A-DII-1355-1974 5A-D1-1975-2269 6A-2270+
  17. Lowest I got was 364 so I don't think it will be any lower than that sadly. ranged from 364-374.
  18. yea no clue and it could very well be. Padilla has it at 379. I think that is way too high. I just based it on past realignments and ran some simulations. If I had all numbers I could more adjust to where it could be at.
  19. If those hold true the differences from the 2022-2024 and the 2024-2026 would be as follows: Realignment 2022-2024 2024-2026 Scale factor 1.562 1.657 high/low--> 1.509 1.451 1.436 1.427 1.511 1.512 1.613 1.626 1.476 1.493 1.48 1.46 1.155 1.147 Avg 1.46775 1.471625 Variance 0.0189416428 0.024030839 Std. Deviation 0.1376286411 0.1550188353
  20. My predictions ( last realignment was an outlier in the data when numbers jumped so much) This is what I am thinking 2A-DII-105-174 2A-DI-175-254 3A-DII-255-364 3A-DI-365-552 4A-DII-553-899 4A-D1-900-1344 5A-DII-1345-1964 5A-D1-1965-2254 6A-2255+
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