BoyzNdaHood Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Great write up @Pax.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUTIGERS Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 10 hours ago, Pax said: Since district play started, and including playoff games as well, Gunter is beating teams by an average of 35.6 points per game. The teams they are beating are winning their games by an average of 6.6 per game. So, Gunter swings these games by an average of 42.2 points. Canadian is beating teams by 33.7 who are used to winning by 5.9 - for a swing of 39.6 points. Since Canadian wins by an average of 33.7, and Gunter "swings" their opponents out of their average game by 42.2 points, that would favor Gunter by 8.5 points. Gunter wins by an average of 35.6, and Canadian "swings" their opponents out of their average game by 39.6 points, so that would favor Canadian by 4 points. The average of these two would be Gunter favored by 2. The score my algorithm comes up with in this one is Gunter, 35-33. This is considering district games and beyond - as well as only the district and beyond games by their opponents. Using the same method : Considering every game played overall including preseason - Gunter 30, Canadian 27. Considering the best 3 "swing" games by each team** - Canadian 38, Gunter 29. Worst 3 swing games*** - Gunter 40, Canadian 25. Gunter's best 3 vs Canadian's worst 3 - Gunter 39, Canadian 11. Canadian's best 3 vs Gunter's worst 3 - Canadian 52, Gunter 30. Considering only the 4 playoff games - Canadian 37, Gunter 31. Games against opponents that score 30+ ppg - Canadian 29, Gunter 27. Games against opponents who hold teams to fewer than 20 ppg - Gunter 30, Canadian 22. The average of all of these : Gunter 32, Canadian 30. ** - Canadian's best 3 swing games were against Anson, Friona, and Colorado. Gunter's best 3 were the Holliday playoff game, Nocona, and the Holliday district game. *** - Canadian's worst 3 swing games were against Grapevine Faith, Perryton, and River Road. Gunter's worst 3 were Callisburg, Lexington, and S&S. It's hard to beat a good team two times in a row, and Gunter pulled that off against a very good Holliday team this year. Gunter would have to beat an even better Canadian team 3 times in a row to advance to the state final for the third consecutive year. It's a tall order, but I think Gunter will pull it off in a one-score game. Both teams in the 30s. Good job Pax! Very insightful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crawford Posted December 12, 2018 Author Share Posted December 12, 2018 Tigers advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoxyLady Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 Wildcats get revenge in this one boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newtonres7586 Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 (edited) On 12/9/2018 at 10:03 PM, Pax said: Since district play started, and including playoff games as well, Gunter is beating teams by an average of 35.6 points per game. The teams they are beating are winning their games by an average of 6.6 per game. So, Gunter swings these games by an average of 42.2 points. Canadian is beating teams by 33.7 who are used to winning by 5.9 - for a swing of 39.6 points. Since Canadian wins by an average of 33.7, and Gunter "swings" their opponents out of their average game by 42.2 points, that would favor Gunter by 8.5 points. Gunter wins by an average of 35.6, and Canadian "swings" their opponents out of their average game by 39.6 points, so that would favor Canadian by 4 points. The average of these two would be Gunter favored by 2. The score my algorithm comes up with in this one is Gunter, 35-33. This is considering district games and beyond - as well as only the district and beyond games by their opponents. Using the same method : Considering every game played overall including preseason - Gunter 30, Canadian 27. Considering the best 3 "swing" games by each team** - Canadian 38, Gunter 29. Worst 3 swing games*** - Gunter 40, Canadian 25. Gunter's best 3 vs Canadian's worst 3 - Gunter 39, Canadian 11. Canadian's best 3 vs Gunter's worst 3 - Canadian 52, Gunter 30. Considering only the 4 playoff games - Canadian 37, Gunter 31. Games against opponents that score 30+ ppg - Canadian 29, Gunter 27. Games against opponents who hold teams to fewer than 20 ppg - Gunter 30, Canadian 22. The average of all of these : Gunter 32, Canadian 30. ** - Canadian's best 3 swing games were against Anson, Friona, and Colorado. Gunter's best 3 were the Holliday playoff game, Nocona, and the Holliday district game. *** - Canadian's worst 3 swing games were against Grapevine Faith, Perryton, and River Road. Gunter's worst 3 were Callisburg, Lexington, and S&S. It's hard to beat a good team two times in a row, and Gunter pulled that off against a very good Holliday team this year. Gunter would have to beat an even better Canadian team 3 times in a row to advance to the state final for the third consecutive year. It's a tall order, but I think Gunter will pull it off in a one-score game. Both teams in the 30s. I watched the video of Grapevine Faith , and Canadians defense looked terrible. With all due respect . Does anyone think they have improved since then? Edited December 12, 2018 by Newtonres7586 Change wording Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RETIREDFAN1 Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 Gunter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Newtonres7586 said: I watched the video of Grapevine Faith , and Canadians defense looked terrible. With all due respect . Does anyone think they have improved since then? I'd say so, their in the semis and grapevine isn't so.... and grapevine finished the year at (9-2) so they were a good team, the team that knocked them out is trinity Christian and they are (14-0).... JS Canadian is a good team who have won a few championships in 2A and now that they've moved up to 3A they keep running into Gunter and this may very well be the year they break thru to make it to state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VDUB Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 Going with Gunter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newtonres7586 Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 21 minutes ago, JETT said: I'd say so, their in the semis and grapevine isn't so.... and grapevine finished the year at (9-2) so they were a good team, the team that knocked them out is trinity Christian and they are (14-0).... JS Canadian is a good team who have won a few championships in 2A and now that they've moved up to 3A they keep running into Gunter and this may very well be the year they break thru to make it to state Thanks Jett.I picked them to beat Gunter, because I believe Their passing will pull it out for them. Besides, I want Newton to play some other team at sc. praying Newton makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wingtveer Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 Getting close !! Tigers are about to turn it loose!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDuroc Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Good thing they didn’t play tonight with this 40mph wind and rain. Nobody would be able to toss the ball. Hoping for good weather so we can see who truly is the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robhollow84 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 4 hours ago, BlueDuroc said: Good thing they didn’t play tonight with this 40mph wind and rain. Nobody would be able to toss the ball. Hoping for good weather so we can see who truly is the best. Would like to see y’all play Friday, should be a good game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eagle24 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Gunter, going for the hometown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jedi94 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 52 minutes ago, eagle24 said: Gunter, going for the hometown! The battle for state champion runner up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevSandman Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/12/2018 at 7:22 AM, FoxyLady said: Wildcats get revenge in this one boys. I agree, Foxy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger1995 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 what radio station will be carrying this game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wingtveer Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 46 minutes ago, Tiger1995 said: what radio station will be carrying this game Hey tiger, I just type in Gunter radio broadcast and listen from Longview every week. It’s called CJSports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 14-0 Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KirtFalcon Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 14 - 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KirtFalcon Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 17 - 7 Canadian :59 3rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pax Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Great game, Canadian. Very impressive defense. The last time Gunter was held to 7 points was against Waskom in 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wingtveer Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Two great programs. Congrats to both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crawford Posted December 15, 2018 Author Share Posted December 15, 2018 Canadian 17 Gunter 7 final Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purpleforever Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Congrats on a good season Gunter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Helluva run you guys had Gunter, yalls coach is top notch and will have yall back in it again next year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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