THEHARDWAY Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 hours ago, Pax said: Just finished. Since district started, Franklin is averaging 50.9 per game to teams that give up 26.7 per game on average (24.2 more). They are holding teams that average 31.2 per game to 18.7 (14.2 fewer). Total swing for Franklin is a +36.6. Canadian averages 61.7 per game against defenses that give up 27.4 per game (34.3 more) and they hold teams that average 36.5 per game to just 8.6 per game (27.9 fewer). Overall swing is +62.2. The score prediction based on the full regular season is Canadian, 51-28. The numbers can be skewed when you play poor teams. For example, Canadian's swing is a +62.2. This is the average of all games. Their lowest swing game of the year was a 78-0 win over Dimmitt. Dimmitt loses their games by 46.4 points per game on average, so for Canadian to "swing" them out of their normal game by 62.2 points, Canadian would have had to beat them by 109 points. Canadian was up 62-0 at halftime in that game, so they were certainly on pace to have their normal swing game against them. There are several games like this, so here are the numbers only considering opponents who - on average - outscore their opponents by 14 or more points : In these games, Canadian is a +70.4 beating teams by 40.2 on average who are used to winning by 30.2. Franklin is a +41.8. Teams used to winning by 18.8 on average lose to Franklin by an average of 23.0 points. Score prediction based on only these games : Canadian, 42-19. If both teams play like the average of their best three games, I get a 47-25 Canadian win. If both teams play like the average of their worst three games, I get Canadian in a 48-27 win. Canadian's worst vs Franklin's best : Canadian in a 43-35 win. Franklin's worst vs Canadian's best : 56-7. By quarter and considering all games since district (some games missing because I don't have box scores) : Canadian : 1 : 22-2 2 : 45-4 3 : 56-7 Franklin : 1 : 16-5 2 : 31-10 3 : 39-13 Canadian has seen one team that scores more than Franklin. That would be Idalou who averaged 53.2 ppg. Canadian held Idalou to 6 points, and those 6 points came from a scoop and score fumble. There are two other teams that score nearly 50 per game, so near Franklin in the scoring department. In these three games, Canadian held those opponents to 8 points per game. Canadian has three opponents that hold teams to fewer points than Franklin holds their opponents. In these games, Canadian has averaged 48 points per game, so you could see a 49-7 type game playing out here. Franklin has seen no opponents that score at the level Canadian is scoring, and they have seen no opponents that give up as few points as Canadian gives up. My prediction is that Canadian outperforms the numbers and wins big. Thanks Pax! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastTxFinest Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Canadian will win by 30+ .... Been watching both teams highlights today and those boys are on another level 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEHARDWAY Posted December 17, 2020 Author Share Posted December 17, 2020 One of the coolest traditions in the state! Get ready Franklin, Winter is Coming!! https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2842008339418373&id=100008277047507 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Airitout1 said: One of the coolest traditions in the state! Get ready Franklin, Winter is Coming!! https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2842008339418373&id=100008277047507 We are ready to bring the heat and humidity!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eagleborn Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, lionpride08 said: We are ready to bring the heat and humidity!!! What’s 164? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, Eagleborn said: What’s 164? How many miles it is to AT&T Stadium... Its been the motto all year... # staythecourse 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEHARDWAY Posted December 17, 2020 Author Share Posted December 17, 2020 17 minutes ago, lionpride08 said: How many miles it is to AT&T Stadium... Its been the motto all year... # staythecourse I like it! Ours is #LeaveALegacy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eagleborn Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 52 minutes ago, lionpride08 said: How many miles it is to AT&T Stadium... Its been the motto all year... # staythecourse Thats cool. I knew I seen that number somewhere lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, lionpride08 said: We are ready to bring the heat and humidity!!! Nice, I like it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Airitout1 said: I like it! Ours is #LeaveALegacy Canadian gone do that JS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GTAlumnus Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 hours ago, Airitout1 said: One of the coolest traditions in the state! Get ready Franklin, Winter is Coming!! https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2842008339418373&id=100008277047507 Cool. No, cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Eagleborn said: Thats cool. I knew I seen that number somewhere lol NFL Hall of Famer John Randle did our hype video as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Punks Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 9 hours ago, lionpride08 said: NFL Hall of Famer John Randle did our hype video as well I looked for it on YouTube but couldn’t find it. Could you share the link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Congrats both squads on getting this far good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, 2Punks said: I looked for it on YouTube but couldn’t find it. Could you share the link? Its locked on Franklin lions football facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboFan07 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 hours ago, lionpride08 said: Best of luck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
regaleagle Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 My Dad was a Canadian Club kind of guy.......so I guess I'm going with Canadian's Club today......hahaha. Cheers Dad!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TCU44 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 I think the Slot T is going to give Canadian trouble. Most people aren’t given Franklin a big shot of winning this game but I think they can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 MHO, Franklin's qb needs to pull it and go every chance he gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Good D first series so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 If Franklin can keep the penalties limited and hold onto the ball they can stay in this game and pull it out, we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 TD Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboFan07 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Beauty of a pass that one, after the bad one the play before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoyzNdaHood Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Nice clean hit on the punt, timed it perfectly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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