TCU44 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 What 4A teams will move up next year? I believe Argyle already has 5A numbers could be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrankyOldMan Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 (edited) . Edited September 26, 2022 by CrankyOldMan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mavchamp Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 No one is really expected to move up in East Texas. Kilgore and Chapel Hill are the best candidates and they aren’t close. There are two in 5A possibly moving down to 4A Div I: Jacksonville and Sulphur Springs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmoakyBandito Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 44 minutes ago, Mavchamp said: No one is really expected to move up in East Texas. Kilgore and Chapel Hill are the best candidates and they aren’t close. There are two in 5A possibly moving down to 4A Div I: Jacksonville and Sulphur Springs. Would help both tremendously. Would love to see Jax drop down and get their program back to some kind of respectable level. They are in a very rough spot in 5a. If Kilgore, Henderson and Pali are all 4a then Jax should be too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Jax had 1211 first day. 1229 was last cutoff I believe. UIL usually adds 25-50 so looking that way for JaX to go 4A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VonG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Lindale will be moving back up to 5a soon. They are bigger than Chapel Hill and Kilgore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonDellaRosa Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 9 hours ago, Footballalltheway said: Im hearing Melissa probably will as well. Melissa is definitely going up; Anna is probably going to be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
regaleagle Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 IF Argyle does move up.......they are ready. I'm not totally convinced yet that they will exceed the magic number......might be right on the cusp. I think both Melissa and Anna will definitely make the number. Currently that number is 1250.......200 more students than Argyle had last year. Now we have Covid......some are home-schooling. Then with all the move-ins to Texas from other states......and DFW esp.......the numbers will likely grow from last realignment. So the magic number will most likely grow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TCU44 Posted August 21, 2021 Author Share Posted August 21, 2021 9 hours ago, regaleagle said: IF Argyle does move up.......they are ready. I'm not totally convinced yet that they will exceed the magic number......might be right on the cusp. I think both Melissa and Anna will definitely make the number. Currently that number is 1250.......200 more students than Argyle had last year. Now we have Covid......some are home-schooling. Then with all the move-ins to Texas from other states......and DFW esp.......the numbers will likely grow from last realignment. So the magic number will most likely grow too. Argyle will definitely move up! I’m sure they will be fine they have a good program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bordertown Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 13 hours ago, Matt said: Jax had 1211 first day. 1229 was last cutoff I believe. UIL usually adds 25-50 so looking that way for JaX to go 4A. I will be surprised if you see the cutoff numbers increase and possibly see the cutoffs numbers drop. Primary reason I believe is the arrival of Covid D will have a big impact on enrollment numbers. I suspect there is an increased number of parents opting to home school or search out virtual options. Last year enrollment dropped in Texas by 120,000 students. We will see on snap shot day. Should be interesting realignment cycle. Looking forward, I predict the 2024 realignment will be big changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mavchamp Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 It will also be interesting to see how Harts Bluff opening a HS will affect Mount Pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionpride08 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Im hearing the numbers are goin to make a pretty good jump... I could see more teams dropping then moving up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 6 hours ago, bordertown said: I will be surprised if you see the cutoff numbers increase and possibly see the cutoffs numbers drop. Primary reason I believe is the arrival of Covid D will have a big impact on enrollment numbers. I suspect there is an increased number of parents opting to home school or search out virtual options. Last year enrollment dropped in Texas by 120,000 students. We will see on snap shot day. Should be interesting realignment cycle. Looking forward, I predict the 2024 realignment will be big changes. Hmmmm, well, I don’t see that because it’s hard enough to get the 6-8 team districts they want. That means all schools would have to drop at the same rate and that isnt gonna happen with all the schools in Texas. What if one HS loses 100 students and another one doesn’t? How does that work? I see what you’re saying but it would really mess up the teams they want in each district. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluetopper Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 How will this affect Paris if Argyle and Melissa move up to 5A? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrankyOldMan Posted August 26, 2021 Share Posted August 26, 2021 (edited) On 8/21/2021 at 12:20 AM, JasonDellaRosa said: Melissa is definitely going up; Anna is probably going to be close . Edited September 26, 2022 by CrankyOldMan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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