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Pax last won the day on December 10 2018
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Yes, the numbers include predistrict games. I like the idea of doing first half vs second half, but it would be tedious. Both teams generally have solid leads by halftime and shut it down in the second half so I don't think it would change much anyway. I may look into it.
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Looks to be a good one. Overall, Gunter is scoring 47.9 per game against teams that allow 24.8 per game. Gunter is allowing 7.0 per game to teams that score 33.5 per game. Gunter's swing is a +49.6. Canadian is scoring 52.9 against teams that allow 23.4 on average. They are allowing 16.4 per game to teams that score 27.6 per game. Canadian's swing is +40.7. Using these numbers, I get a 39-32 Gunter victory. Taking Gunter's three worst "swing" games vs Canadian's best three, I get a Canadian win 42-14. Gunter's three best vs Canadian's three worst, I get Gunter in a 42-0 game. I consider that the range of possibilities. Assuming both teams bring their A game, I expect a battle. Gunter on top by a score or two. Though you can also consider that both teams throw game plans out the window when they meet, so who knows? Always one I look forward to. The way I look at it is - if you're playing Canadian, you've had a good season. I would assume you guys feel the same way in the last few years.
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GUNTER vs HOLLIDAY.....again at Frisco's Ford 12/2 7:00 PM
Pax replied to blueflu's topic in High School Sports
Everything is good with me! I appreciate the concern though. I'm having trouble logging in, but luckily, my cell phone is still logged in. I might need to get an admin to help. In this one - and including all games played, Gunter averages 49.5 ppg vs defenses that give up 26.3 per game, and they allow 7.0 ppg against teams that score 33.3 on average - for a swing of +49.5. the Gunter average and swing numbers both being 49.5 is just coincidence. Holliday is scoring 36.0 ppg vs defenses that give up 26.3 per game. Their opponents average 27.4 per game and they hold them to an average of 9.1 per game. Gunter's "swing" is a +49.5, and Holliday's is a +28.0. My spreadsheet spits out a prediction of 32-14 for Gunter. I expect a battle. The Holliday/Gunter game almost feels like an extension of district at this point. Nice venue we are playing in today - albeit hard to get into; especially with the festivities going on today I hear. -
40-6 Final
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1) No. I dont know exactly how/why Gunter got that game. That's why I said what I said. Because I didn't know. 2) You didn't actually explain how/why Gunter got that game specifically, just why they needed one. I had an idea of why they needed one. I just didn't know why they got THAT one. Not that I am owed any kind of explanation - because that wasn't even remotely the point of my mentioning it nor am I owed any explanation for it. I just did not know. The point of my even mentioning it was : 3) I'm not complaining about the team or the game; I'm playfully complaining about the distance we have to travel - actually making fun of my own complaining about a single game in an effort to acknowledge how far Canadian has to travel on a regular basis. It has zilch to do with Bishop. My reference to not knowing how we got that game was merely in passing - because I didn't know - despite your assumption otherwise. I get my information from people far more informed than me. You're one of them. Example : the first I heard of the Sherman QB moving to Gunter was from an article you wrote. That's the level of in-the-know I am at.
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I'm sure it is. Just messing around.
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Austin BBQ - gross!
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Good Lord. I won't complain anymore! Thats a lie, I'll still complain. We are playing Bishop from far south Texas week 1 this year. Not sure how/why we got the game. We are playing at a neutral location near Austin. That's like an average drive for you guys.
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I feel like you guys got this. I can't imagine how hard it is for you guys to find games....and the traveling you have to do. Didn't you play a team from Kansas recently? My guess is Gunter is moving up to D1 next realignment. Another couple of Gunter v Canadian Semis would be nice if we can make it there. Good luck to you guys.
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Maybe. Maybe not. He looks good from what I've seen. I wouldn't characterize Sherman as a competing 5A squad though. 4-6, 2-4 in district, missed the playoffs. Doesn't mean the QB isn't good. He is probably responsible for the 4 wins they managed. This idea that 5A is universally superior to 3A is nonsense. These are all high school kids. There is a TON of overlap among the classifications. Only at the extremes is there a real difference. Namely at the top. Pigskin for example (at the end of last season), would have #2 ranked Gunter in 3A favored over the #79 ranked Sherman in 5A by 30 points. Over the past 5 seasons, 3A teams are 14-5 against 5A teams. These are mostly above average 3A teams vs below average 5A (relatively speaking). Gunter vs Sherman would be an elite 3A program against a below average 5A team. Gunter would dominate that game. There were 17 3A teams ranked ahead of Sherman last year, so Sherman would have been ranked #18 in 3AD2 (doesn't even include 3AD1 where Sherman would be ranked #27) Again - nothing at all against the Sherman kid; just pointing out the absurdity of assuming that just because he is coming from a 5A school means he is superior to 3A athletes. Gunter has some pretty dang good prospects as well. I'm not rooting against him by any means. I'm just tired of this notion that he has won the job already merely by being from all mighty 5A. He will have to earn it against what I think is stiff competition, and if he does, he will have an entire town behind him.....and then some. One thing I wouldn't overlook is his defensive ability.
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Incorrect. You also won't find the actual parents of any of the other kids complaining if the Sherman kid earns the starting job. I've also been defending the 5A kid in these threads.
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Same here. The only bad things I've heard about the young man have been from people like you. Ironically in this very thread with the subtle, and sometimes not so subtle innuendos without any real reason. How about we try to preserve that good reputation you yourself acknowledge by not participating in propagating this nonsense? What'd ya say?
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K
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I'm fairly certain that it is not the case that a prerequisite to a high school student playing on your team is that their father is a coach. Someone can correct me on this.
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There isn't anything wrong with what you just described.