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Everything posted by JasonDellaRosa

  1. The Sherman ISD confirmed that number of 2,185, so they stay in 5A Division I for at least another cycle. They added 233 kids from last time and continued growth is expected, so 2024 should see them in 6A.
  2. Gunter turned in 354, so as long as the 3A divisional cutoff goes up by five or more, they stay down for two more years
  3. Gunter turned in 354, so as long as the 3A divisional cutoff goes up by five or more, they stay down for two more years
  4. Collinsville is definitely going to D-II, they'd have to lower the cutoff by 10 to stay in D-!. Whitewright would slide right into that district should the cutoff go up to 240 The number between 2A-3A has only gone up by 4 and 5 the last two cycles, so 235 would be the historical cutoff point. The question based on other schools could/would move Trenton to an eastern district if WW was down, and then someone would still need to fill a void in 5-2A (I)
  5. And another day this week it was apparently 355. As with Sherman, it sounds like the official number they submit will be available Monday, so we'll see exactly where it ends up landing
  6. I haven't been able to get an official number through the ISD. I am hoping to hear back on Monday.
  7. I'm trying to get Sherman's might not be until Monday -- the talk is it will be 22XX. Waiting to see those last two numbers
  8. Longview has clinched a playoff spot -- the worst it can do is 3-3, and if that happens, regardless of Tyler-Sherman outcome, that means Tyler gets a fourth win, which means Lobos have head-to-head tie-breaker against Sherman even if Sherman won out
  9. Unfortunately, most people like to say they clinched playoffs because there are outcomes that are extremely unlikely to happen, and in the end it is only a matter of the game taking place before it will in fact happen but it is a fact that if North beats Longview and Sherman beats Tyler this week, and then Longview beats Tyler and Sherman beats West Mesquite, Sherman would go as the fourth seed with head-to-head against Tyler. That one scenario alone means Tyler has not clinched. It may be possible that if they all zero out it is already known via the next step in the tiebreaker who would advance -- although I can't believe that would be the case without all the results not known -- so he is assuming, again assuming, that North loses to Longview and then no matter what Tyler gets in on the three-way tie should it happen.
  10. Sherman's landing spot is going to come down to the cutoff number. I think they could end up on either side of the line, depending on where it gets drawn.
  11. So they've had a net add of five kids since school started. If the number goes up like it has every time, they will stay under by about 10 or so. It will be a sweat in the sense that it is close enough it is possible the number didn't change or only went up a handful. The belief it will go to 365ish because: 2020 it was 350 2018 it was 335 2016 it was 319 The move from 2014 to 2016 was only four kids (315-319)
  12. Gunter is expecting its number to be 350. As long as the cutoff goes up they will stay down for another cycle. They will be going Division I the next time unless the cutoff makes a huge jump by 2024
  13. Pottsboro and Mount Vernon clinch playoff spots with wins Howe is all but eliminated with a loss -- it would take about a dozen combinations to keep them in the hunt. The Rains-Commerce loser will be on life support The odds are pretty good going into the last week the four playoff spots are clinched and seeding is wrapped up.
  14. It will be longer than that -- Celina's growth has slowed more than I thought it would. Prosper has really siphoned off a lot of growth that I think was expected to head this way. Gunter just crossed 2,000 population and the latest census had them averaging 50 people per year. There would have to be a major leap to get there by 2030. It's possible because Celina added 10,000 and Prosper added 20,500 but I'd be stunned if there was a big push coming just based on the numbers. If I'd guess, I would put it around 2035, only because I'd want to see to the next census growth in the area. to see how much it continues to trend.
  15. As long as the number goes up like it has Gunter is going to stay D2. If it stays close to the same or or whatever reason goes down, Gunter will be D1
  16. It's probably close but it's definitely not clearly -- he goes in backwards so that doesn't help and the official is literally right there. https://www.kxii.com/2021/09/11/gunter-28-whitesboro-6/
  17. They had agreed in the off-season not to play again. Pottsboro had been looking for a Week 3 for awhile, it didn't just start this week.
  18. Sometimes you take a game to fill a schedule -- I'm sure neither really wanted to play but it was a realignment year with Pewitt coming off a state runner-up finish and Celina getting to the second round, losing to the eventual runner-up and bringing back a bunch of kids. It's going to be tough to find X number of games, especially on the fly when you don't know how big your district is gonna be. Celina really got screwed in being in that five-teamer and needing to find six willing opponents.
  19. They are doing a community pep rally and showing off the high school Thursday night, so they moved everything to tonight to avoid the conflict
  20. For realignment two years ago, Sunnyvale was at 583
  21. Melissa is definitely going up; Anna is probably going to be close
  22. No accusations. The numbers are what the numbers are. It's just surprising considering the way things are going since 2015. There is always a lag time on stuff like that -- if Gunter's number stays around 350 or so then obviously the additions to the ISD are coming at the junior high / elementary levels and won't affect the high school until at least 2026, depending on what the cutoff is this time.
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