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4AD2 Elite Eight
BUCKEYESNUT posted a topic in High School SportsRegion 1 - Celina vs. Sweetwater Note: All references to scoring output pertain to all regular- and post-season games inclusively, unless otherwise noted. Similar scoring output for both teams - 638 for Sweetwater and 617 for Celina. Celina has a stouter defense, having surrendered a total of 193 points vs. Sweetwater's yield of 316. Sweetwater, however, is undefeated, whereas Celina has lost twice. Both of Celina's losses were in non-district games, the first a 12-point loss to 4AD1 Argyle, and the second a 19-point loss to Bishop Lynch (TAPPS I) out of Dallas. I feel Celina will top Sweetwater, but the score will be respectably close, and it could just as easily go the other way. Region 2 - Gilmer vs. Atlanta Gilmer has outscored Atlanta by nearly 200 points - 784 to 589. Its defense has also been stingier. Gilmer has allowed 210, while Atlanta has surrendered 278. Also, Gilmer's defense is actually better than "points against" would indicate, since in many games most of the points surrendered were by the back-up units. Both teams like to strike early and often and run away with early leads. One could say as Musgrove goes, so goes Atlanta, whereas Gilmer has numerous weapons in its arsenal. I worry, though, that the Gladewater game may have cost Gilmer much of its emotional reserves. I hope they don't fall prey to thinking the Gladewater game was the state game. I believe Gilmer will maintain its intensity in spite of my worries, and I think (read: hope) they will throttle Musgrove and win the game by a fairly wide margin. If Gilmer does advance, they will want to tighten up their chin straps when they step on the field against Celina or Sweetwater. Region 3 - West Orange-Stark vs. La Grange Here is an interesting game. In my opinion, the winner of this game will advance to the state championship game. West Orange-Stark has given up only 159 points all season, and has only given up 14 points in their three play-off games. La Grange has a good defense in its own right, having only given up 196 points over-all, and a mere 35 in their three play-off games. Where WO-Stark has the edge defensively, La Grange has the advantage on offense -- at least when you consider the entire season. They have scored 538; WO-Stark has scored 460. However . . . if you consider only the play-offs, WO-Stark has scored 132 points, while La Grange has scored 120. I expect a low scoring game, with WO-Stark coming out on top. Region 4 - Sinton vs. Yoakum Since I feel WO-Stark is going to the state championship, I see this game as an inconsequential game between two teams that are near mirror images of each other. Sinton has scored 523 and Yoakum has scored 526; Sinton has allowed 343 and Yoakum has allowed 364. Both teams are 10 and 3. Both teams are coming off of good wins--Sinton beat Wimberley and Yoakum beat Cuero. I see this game as a toss-up. The winner will survive for another week, but no further.