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Future of East Texas 5A


Mavchamp

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Longview will be on the bubble once again..all depends on the cutoff numbers for 6A.

 

October 2013 LHS enrollment - 2071

October 2014 LHS enrollment - 2110

October 2015 LHS enrollment - ????

 

LISD saw a 1.7 percent increase in enrollment..including 147 incoming transfers from a year ago.

 

All of this was reported in the LNJ.

 

Not sure where Lufkin ends up. Their football participation numbers don't yell out 6A IMO..it isnt anything like it was when they were a top classification program.

 

JT fans lie about their enrollment figures constantly for whatever reason, so you'll just have to wait for snapshot day to see what they turn in. Heck, this past realignment, there was confusion in what their actual enrollment was. lol

 

After all of this enrollment talk, I went to the TEA site and pulled up JT enrollment for 2014-2015 and JT reported 2148. I was shocked, but maybe those JT guys were not that far out.

http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/adhocrpt/adste.html

 

Longview was 2109 (if you include Lead Academy and Longview High)

 

Lufkin was 2154

 

Lee was 2590

 

Texas High was less than 1900., which was the next highest school in East Texas.

 

I would not be shocked if the East Tex schools are combined with Rockwall to form a new district....or Lufkin could be sent south again...who knows...but if those numbers hold, 6a will have three more East Texas Schools.

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Man, I figured with all the major residential growth in Longview I.S.D. with all the new multi-family dwelling housing being built along with the expanding retail businesses that those numbers would SOMEWHAT reflect that growth. What in the hell is going on???

 

I am not understanding why our numbers are declining or at the very, least not in the 2200's. I hate being out here in West Texas, losing out on too much information regarding my alma matta. Someone with LEGITIMATE information be it good or bad, what is happening to Longview High's enrollment!?

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Man, I figured with all the major residential growth in Longview I.S.D. with all the new multi-family dwelling housing being built along with the expanding retail businesses that those numbers would SOMEWHAT reflect that growth. What in the hell is going on???

 

I am not understanding why our numbers are declining or at the very, least not in the 2200's. I hate being out here in West Texas, losing out on too much information regarding my alma matta. Someone with LEGITIMATE information be it good or bad, what is happening to Longview High's enrollment!?

I don't live in ET either but I know the numbers aren't declining at all. Had a 39 student increase from a year ago....

 

Thing is...East Texas Charter and Trinity are getting a piece of the pie as well and slowing the growth. Those darn privates..

 

Charter alone had 174 students in October. Add that to LHS enrollment and they surpass 2200 easily. No telling how many are at Trinity.

 

According to the TEA site, most of the HS around LISD (including Tatum and Hallsville) declined in enrollment from a year ago...so they're definitely not to be blamed for the slow growth. LHS was the only HS in the Longview metro area that saw growth from a year ago. It's the privates I tell ya..

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Lufkin is the odd man out here with our placement as the school located furtherest South and Nacogdoches is not certain to be in that package deal either, they have not been in the past when we went South to the Klein / Conroe districts for 10 years. Lufkin's enrollment is up now but the town just had 500 people layed off by GE/Lufkin Industries which could affect our numbers in October. Oil ad Gas prices down , jobs are lost. Of course not all of those people losing jobs live in Lufkin proper or are in the LP district. So we will see how this all shakes out. IMO it would not be a good thing for Lufkin to head back to 6A under the current conditions. We will not be the program we were under Outlaw again anytime soon, Maybe never again, just hard to say after two really bad years in a row. This will be a rebuild year for Lufkin, few starters returning and young. Going down to Huntsville would not be a bad deal, going back to Conroe would not be that bad I guess, at least we know what we are getting into there, playing The Woodlands is kind of like playing Longview. Lufkin could be put almost anywhere, while there are enough East Texas schools no matter what happens, to at least form one good ET district and I hope Lufkin is part of it.

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After all of this enrollment talk, I went to the TEA site and pulled up JT enrollment for 2014-2015 and JT reported 2148. I was shocked, but maybe those JT guys were not that far out.

http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/adhocrpt/adste.html

 

Longview was 2109 (if you include Lead Academy and Longview High)

 

Lufkin was 2154

 

Lee was 2590

 

Texas High was less than 1900., which was the next highest school in East Texas.

 

I would not be shocked if the East Tex schools are combined with Rockwall to form a new district....or Lufkin could be sent south again...who knows...but if those numbers hold, 6a will have three more East Texas Schools.

Why was it shocking to you?

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Why was it shocking to you?

because the enrollment went by 140 students...

 

Tyler isn't Dallas Fort Worth, and North Tyler ain't exactly growing. There is some growth on the West Side, so I guess that helps. A 20 or 30 student increase wouldn't have been a shock but 140 was. But I guess it shouldn't be so much because they went up by about the same number from last time.

 

I have to be honest, I rather JT stay in 5a than 6a. I think JT could make the playoffs in 6a, but I don't think they would be a title contender every year like they are now. Every 5 or so yrs, with a bunch like Greg Ward, I could see it happening, but not as often as now. (JT has been to the semifinals 3 of last 4 yrs)

 

The top classification is different now....When JT was in the top class, they could beat most of the suburb schools because they had more athletes....but now with the growth of the suburbs in Dallas and Houston...etc...they have just as many athletes as JT...so its not as easy anymore. But Cujo doesn't back down from anyone, so if 6a happens, JT will be ready for the challenge.

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Man, I figured with all the major residential growth in Longview I.S.D. with all the new multi-family dwelling housing being built along with the expanding retail businesses that those numbers would SOMEWHAT reflect that growth. What in the hell is going on???

 

I am not understanding why our numbers are declining or at the very, least not in the 2200's. I hate being out here in West Texas, losing out on too much information regarding my alma matta. Someone with LEGITIMATE information be it good or bad, what is happening to Longview High's enrollment!?

It could be that the people are leaving the old neighborhoods and moving to the new ones...which really does not increase the population. Also, it could be that many of the new folks are not having as many children. It may be new families but they are adults and not kids.

 

Wulf is right in one way...the private and charters are taking about 100-150 kids away from the school system. I'm sure that hurts too. Its happen in a major way in Tyler. Lee would probably be over 3000 kids if not for the private schools and charters.

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because the enrollment went by 140 students...

 

Tyler isn't Dallas Fort Worth, and North Tyler ain't exactly growing. There is some growth on the West Side, so I guess that helps. A 20 or 30 student increase wouldn't have been a shock but 140 was. But I guess it shouldn't be so much because they went up by about the same number from last time.

 

I have to be honest, I rather JT stay in 5a than 6a. I think JT could make the playoffs in 6a, but I don't think they would be a title contender every year like they are now. Every 5 or so yrs, with a bunch like Greg Ward, I could see it happening, but not as often as now. (JT has been to the semifinals 3 of last 4 yrs)

 

The top classification is different now....When JT was in the top class, they could beat most of the suburb schools because they had more athletes....but now with the growth of the suburbs in Dallas and Houston...etc...they have just as many athletes as JT...so its not as easy anymore. But Cujo doesn't back down from anyone, so if 6a happens, JT will be ready for the challenge.

Yeah..140 growth in one term is unheard of outside of the burbs. Hell I'm still skeptical to believe it.

 

Interesting part was the huge fish class that JT brought in this past year. They weren't too far from bringing in what Lee usually brings in. Did TISD change lines or something? I know Tyler is growing but I was under the impression that most of it was on the South side (Lee).

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because the enrollment went by 140 students...

 

Tyler isn't Dallas Fort Worth, and North Tyler ain't exactly growing. There is some growth on the West Side, so I guess that helps. A 20 or 30 student increase wouldn't have been a shock but 140 was. But I guess it shouldn't be so much because they went up by about the same number from last time.

 

I have to be honest, I rather JT stay in 5a than 6a. I think JT could make the playoffs in 6a, but I don't think they would be a title contender every year like they are now. Every 5 or so yrs, with a bunch like Greg Ward, I could see it happening, but not as often as now. (JT has been to the semifinals 3 of last 4 yrs)

 

The top classification is different now....When JT was in the top class, they could beat most of the suburb schools because they had more athletes....but now with the growth of the suburbs in Dallas and Houston...etc...they have just as many athletes as JT...so its not as easy anymore. But Cujo doesn't back down from anyone, so if 6a happens, JT will be ready for the challenge.

That's one thing that I know will happen if JT moves up. There would more games that would be close then what we see now.

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Yeah..140 growth in one term is unheard of outside of the burbs. Hell I'm still skeptical to believe it.

 

Interesting part was the huge fish class that JT brought in this past year. They weren't too far from bringing in what Lee usually brings in. Did TISD change lines or something? I know Tyler is growing but I was under the impression that most of it was on the South side (Lee).

JT is a magnet school now.

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Thought I'd just go ahead and list what the enrollments of the East Texas 5As were as of October 2014. From TEA site..

 

Lufkin 2191

John Tyler 2153

Longview 2110

Texas High 1941

Nacogdoches 1678

Ennis 1635

Corsicana 1541

Whitehouse 1467

Mt. Pleasant 1440

Marshall 1388

Hallsville 1342

Longview Pine Tree 1305

Jacksonville 1228

Sulphur Springs 1165

Greenville 1162

Lindale 1153

 

4A Div I schools worth keeping an eye on:

Kilgore 1063

Chapel Hill 1050

 

Especially Chapel Hill, they had 972 in October 2013.

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Thought I'd just go ahead and list what the enrollments of the East Texas 5As were as of October 2014. From TEA site..

 

Lufkin 2191

John Tyler 2153

Longview 2110

Texas High 1941

Nacogdoches 1678

Ennis 1635

Corsicana 1541

Whitehouse 1467

Mt. Pleasant 1440

Marshall 1388

Hallsville 1342

Longview Pine Tree 1305

Jacksonville 1228

Sulphur Springs 1165

Greenville 1162

Lindale 1153

 

4A Div I schools worth keeping an eye on:

Kilgore 1063

Chapel Hill 1050

 

Especially Chapel Hill, they had 972 in October 2013.

 

Good info WP4L.

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The question is will UIL raise the enrollment numbers again. To 2150 or 2,200.

 

Does the UIL consider the competitiveness of their alignment? When a large district competes with school with almost 1000 fewer students that doesn't seem fair.

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