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🏉🏉🏉Daingerfield vs Waskom Regional Championship Friday 7PM at Homer Bryce Stadium in Nacogdoches🏆🏆🏆


GenoDaField357
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Quarterfinals  

83 members have voted

  1. 1. Who wins???

    • Daingerfield Tigers (11-2)
    • Waskom Wildcats (12-1)

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  • Poll closed on 12/04/2021 at 01:00 AM

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I just Heard the Reason the Game is being played at SFA is because West Rusk Daingerfield and Newton Agreed to it and Waskom did as well.  Im sure Daingerfield wasnt expecting Waskom to Win. Thats why they agreed to that.  Now Daingerfield Coach is trying to blame it on Waskom. 

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2 minutes ago, Ijustwatch said:

I just Heard the Reason the Game is being played at SFA is because West Rusk Daingerfield and Newton Agreed to it and Waskom did as well.  Im sure Daingerfield wasnt expecting Waskom to Win. Thats why they agreed to that.  Now Daingerfield Coach is trying to blame it on Waskom. 

Waskom won the flip, so you decide who picked SFA.

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Waskom scoring 55.5 a game vs teams that give up 26.9 per game (+28.6).  Also holding teams to 11.4 who score 31.0 per game (+19.6).  Total swing for Waskom = +48.2.

Daingerfield scoring 45.4 per game vs teams that allow 25.2 per game (+20.2) and holding teams that score 34.1 per game to 18.4 (+15.7).  Total swing for Daingerfield = +35.9.

This is considering all games played including pre-district.  Predicted score based on these games is Waskom 44, Daingerfield 29.

Considering only playoff games, both teams have stepped it up - Daingerfield more so compared to their regular season.  Waskom is scoring 53.3 per game vs teams that give up 20.9 (+32.4) and holding teams that score 20.9 per game to 11.0 (+24.4).  Swing in the playoffs would be a +56.8 for Waskom.  For Daingerfield, they are scoring 52.0 per game vs teams that only give up 16.1 per game (+35.9) and they are holding teams that score 39.0 per game to 17.7 (+21.3) for a total swing of +57.2 in the playoffs.  Based on playoff games, I still get a Waskom win, but much closer at 41-38.

Both teams score a lot of points, and both teams have solid defenses.  It makes sense to only consider competent opponents - those that also score a lot or have good defenses, so...

When only considering opponents of each team that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game, Waskom - having played 3 opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 ppg - score 37.3 per game vs these opponents.  Those three opponents give up 14.1 per game on average, giving Waskom a +23.3 on offense.

Daingerfield has played 6 opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game, so double the sample size.  In other words, they have played a lot more better defenses.  Those 6 teams give up 16.5 ppg on average and DF is scoring 42.3 ppg against these teams for a +25.8 offensive swing.

Waskom has played 3 teams that average more than 35 points per game, and those 3 teams average 47.9 per game overall, and Waskom holds those teams to 22.3 per game for a +25.6 on the defensive swing.  Daingerfield has played 6 teams that average over 35 per game - those 6 teams averaging 41.1 per game and DF holding them to 23.2 per game for a defensive swing of 17.9.

Waskom has a significant defensive advantage here I think.  Overall - considering opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game and teams that average over 35 per game, the overall swing is +48.9 for Waskom and +43.7 for Daingerfield.

Of course you never know with these teams, but these are the numbers, and they have Waskom in a close one.  I'll take Waskom in a 44-29 win.

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6 hours ago, Pax said:

Waskom scoring 55.5 a game vs teams that give up 26.9 per game (+28.6).  Also holding teams to 11.4 who score 31.0 per game (+19.6).  Total swing for Waskom = +48.2.

Daingerfield scoring 45.4 per game vs teams that allow 25.2 per game (+20.2) and holding teams that score 34.1 per game to 18.4 (+15.7).  Total swing for Daingerfield = +35.9.

This is considering all games played including pre-district.  Predicted score based on these games is Waskom 44, Daingerfield 29.

Considering only playoff games, both teams have stepped it up - Daingerfield more so compared to their regular season.  Waskom is scoring 53.3 per game vs teams that give up 20.9 (+32.4) and holding teams that score 20.9 per game to 11.0 (+24.4).  Swing in the playoffs would be a +56.8 for Waskom.  For Daingerfield, they are scoring 52.0 per game vs teams that only give up 16.1 per game (+35.9) and they are holding teams that score 39.0 per game to 17.7 (+21.3) for a total swing of +57.2 in the playoffs.  Based on playoff games, I still get a Waskom win, but much closer at 41-38.

Both teams score a lot of points, and both teams have solid defenses.  It makes sense to only consider competent opponents - those that also score a lot or have good defenses, so...

When only considering opponents of each team that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game, Waskom - having played 3 opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 ppg - score 37.3 per game vs these opponents.  Those three opponents give up 14.1 per game on average, giving Waskom a +23.3 on offense.

Daingerfield has played 6 opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game, so double the sample size.  In other words, they have played a lot more better defenses.  Those 6 teams give up 16.5 ppg on average and DF is scoring 42.3 ppg against these teams for a +25.8 offensive swing.

Waskom has played 3 teams that average more than 35 points per game, and those 3 teams average 47.9 per game overall, and Waskom holds those teams to 22.3 per game for a +25.6 on the defensive swing.  Daingerfield has played 6 teams that average over 35 per game - those 6 teams averaging 41.1 per game and DF holding them to 23.2 per game for a defensive swing of 17.9.

Waskom has a significant defensive advantage here I think.  Overall - considering opponents that hold teams to fewer than 20 points per game and teams that average over 35 per game, the overall swing is +48.9 for Waskom and +43.7 for Daingerfield.

Of course you never know with these teams, but these are the numbers, and they have Waskom in a close one.  I'll take Waskom in a 44-29 win.

Lord have mercy! 

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