Pax Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 I have a stat I call "swing" which is the amount of points a team takes an opponent out of their game. I think it's a good single number that quantifies how good a team is taking into account the strength of their opponents as well. For example, if you beat a team by 40 points and that team wins on average by 20 points, then your swing for that game is +60. If that team normally loses by 20 points, then your swing would be +20. If you lose a game by 3 points, and that team wins on average by 30 points, you still get a +27 in the swing stat. These are the rankings by swing for the 8 teams remaining in 3ADII. This is the average swing per game for the entire season : Overall Swing - Ranking - Team(Region) - Swing : 1 - Franklin(4) - 52.8 2 - Gunter(2) - 48.7 3 - Waskom(3) - 48.2 4 - Roosevelt(1) - 39.7 5 - Daingerfield(3) - 35.9 6 - Poth(4) - 35.8 7 - Holliday(2) - 32.2 8 - Abernathy(1) - 31.5 Ranking by Offensive Swing (Team scores this many more points than the teams they play give up on average) : 1 - Franklin(4) - 32.4 2 - Waskom(3) - 28.6 3 - Gunter(2) - 26.2 4 - Roosevelt(1) - 22.5 5 - Daingerfield(3) - 20.2 6 - Poth(4) - 18.2 7 - Abernathy(1) - 16.7 8 - Holliday(2) - 12.7 Ranking by Defensive Swing (Team allows this many fewer points than the teams they play score on average) : 1 - Gunter(2) - 22.5 2 - Franklin(4) - 20.4 3 - Waskom(3) - 19.6 4 - Holliday(2) - 19.5 5 - Poth(4) - 17.6 6 - Roosevelt(1) - 17.2 7 - Daingerfield(3) - 15.7 8 - Abernathy(1) - 14.8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Punks Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Awesome stats Pax! Since these are the last eight standing, would it be safe to assume that starters playing times, running clocks, etc are comparable across all of these games? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pax Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, 2Punks said: Awesome stats Pax! Since these are the last eight standing, would it be safe to assume that starters playing times, running clocks, etc are comparable across all of these games? It's really hard to say to what degree these teams are playing their backups. I'd say the top 3 teams are probably pretty similar in that regard. The rest I'm not sure. These are just the last 8 remaining - not necessarily the best 8 teams in the state. Obviously, there are likely teams that didn't make the regional final from one region that would beat the finalists of another region. So I'm not sure your assumption is necessarily safe. It's hard to say. Probably pretty similar among the top two or three teams, but not all 8 of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allheartnoquit Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Looks like Franklin is Definitely the best team left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wingtveer Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Thanks for the hard work and great info Pax. It’s very entertaining reading these facts. I hope we come out with guns a blazin Friday. Take care !! TPW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastTxFinest Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Always like how Pax runs the numbers. Hes a stat guru for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEHARDWAY Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 21 hours ago, EastTxFinest said: Always like how Pax runs the numbers. Hes a stat guru for sure. No doubt, and he is not all pretty damn close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastTxFinest Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 hours ago, THEHARDWAY said: No doubt, and he is not all pretty damn close! Except on ours this week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEHARDWAY Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, EastTxFinest said: Except on ours this week LOL. On the outside lookin in with you guys as well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Punks Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 @Pax Pretty sure that this is on your to do list, but could you do your predictions for the two 3AD2 semifinal games? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEHARDWAY Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 On 12/2/2021 at 8:23 PM, THEHARDWAY said: LOL. On the outside lookin in with you guys as well! Hey man! I was thinking Newton for some reason. I was pulling for you guys against Waskom. No disrespect meant by the comment! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pax Posted December 6, 2021 Author Share Posted December 6, 2021 13 hours ago, 2Punks said: @Pax Pretty sure that this is on your to do list, but could you do your predictions for the two 3AD2 semifinal games? Yes, I will be doing these games. Haven't gotten a chance yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Punks Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 hours ago, Pax said: Yes, I will be doing these games. Haven't gotten a chance yet. I had no doubt. You’re the best for doing all the number mashing! We appreciate it. Sometimes I’m hesitant to ask for them, kind of like last year’s against Canadian. Ignorance is bliss, lol! Anyway, thanks for the indulgence! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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